★ USDX is your macro benchmark · Enter previous close values from Barchart. Rising USDX → typically bearish for Nasdaq/Indices · Falling USDX → typically bullish
Correlation Analysis USDX vs PRIMARY
PRIMARY
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VS
COMPUTING
USDX · DX BENCHMARK
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SIGNAL CONFIDENCE
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◈ Session Notes (optional) — saved with session
Primary Curve
USDX · DX Futures Curve
⊕ DAY-OVER-DAY CHANGES
Signals
CASH vs F1—
SIGNAL
DIR
LEVEL
TP TARGET
USDX · DX Signals BENCHMARK
USDX CASH vs DXF1—
SIGNAL
DIR
LEVEL
IMPLICATION
Pattern & Trend ARC ANALYSIS
CONFIDENCE
INDICATOR
VALUE
SIGNAL
NEAREST ARC TARGET
ARC Level Reference PATTERN · TREND
ARC LEVEL
PRICE
NEAREST PATTERN
PATTERN DIST
NEAREST TREND
TREND DIST
ZONE
F4 Extended +CONTRACT
METRIC
VALUE
Δ
NOTE
Alert Proximity LIVE CHECK
Session History
All Sessions 0 RECORDS
DATE/TIME
ASSET
CASH
F1 (ARC1)
F2 (ARC2)
F3 (ARC3)
F4
USDX CASH
DIRECTION
CURVE
CORR
NOTES
≡
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Alert Configuration
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Asset
Signal Name (e.g. ARC1)
Price Level
Direction
Proximity Threshold (% within price)
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ARC Signals
▲ ARC1 — BUY Signal
Level
F1 (Contract 1)
Direction
BUY
Target
ARC2 (F2)
Meaning
First support / entry zone
Rule
Cash below F1 = Bullish
▲ ARC2 — BUY Signal
Level
F2 (Contract 2)
Direction
BUY
Target
ARC3 (F3)
Meaning
Second support / extension
Rule
F1 < F2 = Contango ▲
▼ ARC3 — SELL Signal
Level
F3 (Contract 3)
Direction
SELL
Target
ARC2 (F2)
Meaning
Resistance / reversal zone
Rule
ARC3 is NEVER a buy level
Futures Curve Structures
CONTANGO ▲
F1 < F2 < F3
Normal market structure. Each contract priced higher than the previous.
No clear structure. F2 above or below both F1 and F3 — potential reversal zone.
◆ Wait for confirmation · High uncertainty · Avoid trading the middle
Cash Price — Direction Rules
How to Read Cash vs F1
BULLISH
Cash < F1
Spot below first futures contract. Market pricing in future gains. Look to BUY toward ARC1 → ARC2.
BEARISH
Cash > F1
Spot above first futures contract. Market pricing in future losses. Look to SELL toward ARC3.
NEUTRAL
Cash ≈ F1
Spot at or near F1. No clear bias. Wait for a break above or below F1 before entering.
USDX Correlation Rules
USDX (DX) vs Indices, Gold & Crypto — Inverse Relationship
✓ CONFIRMED BULLISH
USDX Falling + Primary Rising
Dollar weakening supports equity, gold, and crypto prices. Both signals align. High confidence BUY setup.
✓ CONFIRMED BEARISH
USDX Rising + Primary Falling
Dollar strengthening pressures equity, gold, and crypto prices. Both signals align. High confidence SELL setup.
⚡ DIVERGENCE
USDX & Primary Same Direction
Both rising or both falling. Correlation broken down. Reduce size and wait for realignment.
◆ USDX CURVE RULE
DX Contango = Dollar Rising
DXF1 < DXF2 < DXF3 = Dollar strength expected = bearish for primary. Reverse for backwardation.
⚠ RELIABILITY BY ASSET CLASS
HIGH: Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow, Gold, DAX, CAC — inverse correlation with USDX is strong and consistent. MEDIUM: Crude Oil — inverse but less consistent (supply/demand often dominates). LOWER: BTC Micro, ETH Micro — inverse relationship exists but is weaker and more variable. Treat correlation confidence scores with more skepticism on crypto days. Macro risk-on/risk-off often matters more than pure DXY moves.
These are the last 3 digits of key price levels based on the 3·6·9 frequency system. When an ARC signal lands near one of these numbers, confluence is confirmed — stronger entry signal.
Trend frequency nodes from the 1·4·7 system. When an ARC level aligns with both a Trend and Pattern node simultaneously, you have MAX EDGE — highest probability setup.
Each asset remembers its last saved session. When you switch assets, the gold RECALL bar shows yesterday's values.
Click LOAD to pre-fill all inputs — then just edit what shifted overnight. Cuts data-entry in half. DISMISS to ignore.
◈ Session Notes
After computing, a notes textarea appears. Capture your setup, entry, stop, and reasoning before you save.
Notes show in the NOTES column of Session History. Over time, this becomes your trading journal — pattern recognition at scale.
⊕ Day-over-Day Delta
When you compute and there's a prior session for this asset from a different day, a gold strip appears showing how each level has shifted.
Green = up vs yesterday, Red = down, Grey = flat. Tells you at a glance whether the whole curve is climbing, flattening, or rolling over day-over-day.
⬇ CSV Export
On the Session History page, click EXPORT CSV to download your full history (respecting the current filter) as a spreadsheet.
Open in Excel or Google Sheets. Run win-rate stats by asset, curve type, confluence, or notes keyword. Your history becomes analyzable, not just scrollable.
Golden Rules
ArcTrader — 7 Golden Rules
1
Always use Previous Close — never live prices for ARC levels. The system is based on settled contract data only.
2
USDX confirmation is mandatory for highest confidence. Never trade against a confirmed USDX divergence.
3
Contango = BUY the dips.Backwardation = SELL the rallies. The curve tells you the bias for the day.
4
Pattern + Trend node at same ARC level = MAX EDGE. This is the highest probability entry in the system.
5
ARC3 is a SELL level only — never buy at ARC3. It is resistance, not support, under any circumstances.
6
Save every session. Your history is your edge — review patterns across days to see recurring confluence zones.
7
Write notes, not just numbers. After 30+ sessions with written context — setup, entry, stop, outcome — patterns become visible that pure numbers hide. Export to CSV monthly and review.