Leading Indicator Inputs
One click fills Equities, DXY, ADP, Claims, NFP & Unemployment, then scores. Only the forecasts stay manual.
ADP Private Payrolls — Wednesday Before NFP (K jobs) HIGH WEIGHT ×2⚡ Auto
K
Released Wed 08:15 ET. Enter actual jobs added. Forecast ~180K = neutral. Above 200K = strong signal. TradingEconomics ↗
ADP Forecast (K) — for surprise calculation CONTEXT✋ Manual
K
When: before the Wednesday 08:15 ET ADP print — type the consensus estimate (e.g. from TradingEconomics / Investing.com).
Thursday signals (day before NFP)
Initial Jobless Claims — Thursday 08:30 ET (K) HIGH WEIGHT ×2⚡ Auto
K
Below 220K = strong labor market (bullish). Above 260K = warning (bearish). TradingEconomics ↗
S&P 500 / Equities % Change — Thursday Close MEDIUM ×1⚡ Auto
%
Thursday close % change. Yahoo Finance ^GSPC ↗
USD / DXY Index % Change — Thursday Close MEDIUM ×1⚡ Auto
%
DXY up = dollar strengthening = market expects strong NFP (in hike regime). Investing.com DXY ↗
Pulls S&P (ES) and DXY day % change from the live data worker (delayed ~15 min). You can still type your own values.
Post-release (optional — for surprise analysis)
NFP Forecast (K) ✋
NFP Actual (K) ⚡
Unemp. Rate % ⚡
NFP Forecast = Manual: type the consensus before the Friday 08:30 ET release (e.g. TradingEconomics). NFP Actual & Unemployment auto-fill from FRED after release.
Pulls latest ADP, Jobless Claims, NFP month-change and Unemployment Rate from FRED (St. Louis Fed). Only the forecasts stay manual.
Signal Score & Breakdown
—/10
Awaiting Input
Enter indicators on the left and click Compute
Expected Reaction Playbook
Compute a score to see the expected market reaction and trade plan for the current Fed regime.Score Breakdown by Indicator
Run analysis to see breakdown
Session History
Post-NFP Market Reaction